New Delhi: Concerns have intensified in the global private credit market after Blue Owl Capital sold assets worth approximately ₹11,600 crore from its private credit fund OBDC II and simultaneously halted quarterly redemptions. The move has sparked liquidity fears, leaving investors unable to withdraw funds as usual and prompting caution across the fast-growing alternative lending segment.
The alternative asset manager, which oversees about ₹25.5 lakh crore in assets, specialises in non-bank private loans extended to startups, mid-sized firms and privately held companies outside the traditional banking system. The latest development has raised questions about the resilience of a market that has expanded rapidly in recent years.
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Blue Owl said the assets were sold to pension and insurance investors at roughly 99.7% of par value, indicating no material loss. However, the decision to suspend redemptions was interpreted by the market as a sign of liquidity stress. Any restriction on withdrawals tends to erode investor confidence, and the fallout quickly extended beyond a single fund to the broader private credit ecosystem.
The company’s stock fell about 9% in a single session, nearing a two-year low, and is down nearly 50% over the past year. The shockwave spread to other major private credit players, where leading firms recorded declines of more than 5%, signalling that investors view the episode as a sector-wide risk rather than an isolated event.
The trigger is widely linked to valuation pressures in the software sector. Disruption driven by artificial intelligence has weighed on business models and earnings expectations for several software companies, many of which were part of Blue Owl’s loan portfolio. As valuation concerns mounted, redemption requests increased, intensifying liquidity pressure.
Globally, the private credit market is estimated at around ₹150 lakh crore and has become a key funding source for startups and small- and mid-sized enterprises. If liquidity concerns persist, lending activity could slow, potentially affecting new projects, expansion plans and job creation.
Investor behaviour may also shift. In a risk-averse environment, capital could move away from alternative assets toward public credit instruments or safer investments, reducing risk appetite and adding to market volatility.
Some analysts argue the market reaction may be excessive and that the situation could remain contained if redemption pressure does not spread to other funds. For now, attention is focused on whether similar restrictions emerge elsewhere or liquidity conditions stabilise.
The broader economic impact will depend on how significantly private lending is affected. Reduced access to capital could make fundraising more difficult for technology startups and mid-sized firms in particular.
For the moment, the situation remains in “watch mode,” but it is being seen as a warning signal for the rapidly expanding private credit industry. Investors are paying closer attention to liquidity profiles, sector exposure and fund structures, while expectations are rising for tighter regulatory scrutiny.
